Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.067744 0.078727 0.090748 0.104858 0.120942 0.138678 0.159693
2025-02-02 0.052676 0.067563 0.085328 0.107986 0.136007 0.169403 0.212091
2025-02-09 0.039378 0.055242 0.075702 0.103796 0.141102 0.188639 0.253448
2025-02-16 0.031084 0.047273 0.069656 0.102452 0.148786 0.211317 0.301367
2025-02-23 0.024578 0.040288 0.063441 0.099432 0.153191 0.229542 0.344924
2025-03-02 0.019907 0.034979 0.058537 0.097184 0.157877 0.248093 0.390364
2025-03-09 0.016979 0.031781 0.056181 0.098184 0.167144 0.273831 0.448448
2025-03-16 0.013946 0.027786 0.051820 0.095176 0.169471 0.288885 0.491351
2025-03-23 0.012670 0.026645 0.052026 0.099677 0.184343 0.324865 0.570235
2025-03-30 0.011072 0.024584 0.050248 0.100376 0.192673 0.350742 0.634767
2025-04-06 0.009377 0.021998 0.047073 0.098025 0.195212 0.366879 0.684104
2025-04-13 0.008041 0.019890 0.044469 0.096328 0.198599 0.384561 0.737315
2025-04-20 0.007513 0.019483 0.045281 0.101538 0.215764 0.428759 0.842039
2025-04-27 0.006977 0.018959 0.045773 0.106171 0.232332 0.473391 0.951446
2025-05-04 0.005897 0.016914 0.042662 0.102841 0.232656 0.487623 1.005812
2025-05-11 0.005145 0.015528 0.040795 0.101913 0.237727 0.511297 1.079890
2025-05-18 0.004391 0.013967 0.038258 0.099109 0.238462 0.526396 1.138451
2025-05-25 0.003785 0.012673 0.036147 0.096969 0.240328 0.543815 1.202839
2025-06-01 0.003416 0.011979 0.035424 0.098019 0.249363 0.576662 1.300801
2025-06-08 0.002921 0.010785 0.033196 0.095042 0.248813 0.589198 1.357762
2025-06-15 0.002780 0.010680 0.033886 0.099551 0.266293 0.641900 1.502982
2025-06-22 0.002514 0.010098 0.033155 0.100256 0.274693 0.675338 1.609417
2025-06-29 0.002181 0.009205 0.031379 0.097912 0.275333 0.691468 1.679400